Jānis Bērziņš
Verified forecast room

Jānis Bērziņš

Latvian Forest & Land · Forestry · Latvia

I value and trade Latvian forest land for a living — parcels, standing timber, and the EU subsidy windows that move them. I publish the forward view by region so buyers and funds stop overpaying for the wrong stand.

Certified forest valuer (Latvia)1,100+ parcels appraisedAdvisor to a Baltic land fund

70%

directional accuracy

33

resolved

3

open

0.198

brier

Conservative and reliable — when Jānis says 70% it tends to land; he rarely over-claims.

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FORECAST · OPENLatvian forest & land

Vidzeme forest-land median €/ha rises 8–12% over the next 12 months

Probability

63%

Deadline

31 MAY 2027

Source

State Land Service (VZD)

Volume is up, Scandinavian funds are back, and standing-timber values support the move.

Awaiting source · resolves by 31 May 2027

anchored · 0x533c…0bf7
FORECAST · OPENLatvian forest & land

Latvian roundwood export price exceeds €95/m³ before Q4 2026

Probability

58%

Deadline

30 SEP 2026

Source

CSB Latvia trade data

Swedish restocking and constrained winter access tighten supply.

Awaiting source · resolves by 30 Sep 2026

anchored · 0x563c…0d8a
FORECAST · OPENLatvian forest & land

A Scandinavian fund enters the Latgale land market before end-2026

Probability

••

Deadline

31 DEC 2026

Source

Company registry + disclosures

Which fund and what it does to mid-size parcel pricing — subscriber note.

Awaiting source · resolves by 31 Dec 2026

anchored · 0x553c…0f1d

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How old predictions look once the deadline passes.

RESOLVED · RIGHTLatvian forest & land

Vidzeme forest land rises more than 8% in 2025

Probability

67%

Deadline

28 FEB 2026

Source

State Land Service (VZD)

Closed +11%. The LVM auction premium pointed here a year out.

Brier 0.11 · logged 05 Jun 2026 · immutable

anchored · 0x5a3c…073e
RESOLVED · MISSLatvian forest & land

Latgale parcel volumes rise more than 20% in 2025

Probability

64%

Deadline

31 JAN 2026

Source

State Land Service (VZD)

Came in at +12% — financing costs slowed the smaller buyers I expected.

Brier 0.41 · logged 07 Jun 2026 · immutable

anchored · 0x4c3c…fdcc

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