Dubai Prime & Off-Plan · Real estate · UAE
I track Dubai prime and off-plan — handover risk, developer balance sheets, and where visa-driven demand actually clears. I tell subscribers which launches to skip, not just which to chase.
65%
directional accuracy
40
resolved
3
open
0.207
brier
“Strong on developer risk, but the market’s volatility makes her short-horizon price calls noisier — weight the directional ones.”
Open calls · live
Probability
66%
Deadline
31 DEC 2026
Source
Property Monitor index
Ultra-prime supply is scarce and HNW inflows persist; the risk is a global risk-off.
Awaiting source · resolves by 31 Dec 2026
anchored · 0x804d…94cbProbability
69%
Deadline
30 JUN 2027
Source
DLD + developer tracking
Contractor capacity is stretched across the pipeline; delays are structural, not one-off.
Awaiting source · resolves by 30 Jun 2027
anchored · 0x834d…965eProbability
••
Deadline
31 DEC 2026
Source
Sector press + filings
Which project and the early-warning signs — subscriber note.
Awaiting source · resolves by 31 Dec 2026
anchored · 0x824d…97f1Members see the full call
Resolved examples
Probability
70%
Deadline
31 JAN 2026
Source
Reidin price series
Visa-driven demand ran ahead of new handovers, as flagged.
Brier 0.09 · logged NaN undefined NaN · immutable
anchored · 0x874d…9caaProbability
64%
Deadline
31 JAN 2026
Source
Property Monitor index
Came in ~14% — I underweighted the mid-year cooling.
Brier 0.41 · logged NaN undefined NaN · immutable
anchored · 0x894d…86a0Research and education only. Profile content, forecasts, membership state, and pricing are sample preview data; no payment flow or regulated market product is active here.